Technical perspective: By the end of the decade, we will deliver universal, fully fault-tolerant quantum computing
By Dr. Harry Buhrman, Chief Scientist for Algorithms and Innovation, and Dr. Chris Langer, Fellow
This week, we confirm what has been implied by the rapid pace of our recent technical progress as we reveal a major acceleration in our hardware road map. By the end of the decade, our accelerated hardware roadmap will deliver a fully fault-tolerant and universal quantum computer capable of executing millions of operations on hundreds of logical qubits.
The next major milestone on our accelerated roadmap is Quantinuum Helios™, Powered by Honeywell, a device that will definitively push beyond classical capabilities in 2025. That sets us on a path to our fifth-generation system, Quantinuum Apollo™, a machine that delivers scientific advantage and a commercial tipping point this decade.
What is Apollo?
We are committed to continually advancing the capabilities of our hardware over prior generations, and Apollo makes good on that promise. It will offer:
- thousands of physical qubits
- physical error rates less than 10-4
- All of our most competitive features: all-to-all connectivity, low crosstalk, mid-circuit measurement and qubit re-use
- Conditional logic
- Real-time classical co-compute
- Physical variable angle 1 qubit and 2 qubit gates
- Hundreds of logical qubits
- Logical error rates better than 10-6 with analysis based on recent literature estimating as low as 10-10
By leveraging our all-to-all connectivity and low error rates, we expect to enjoy significant efficiency gains in terms of fault-tolerance, including single-shot error correction (which saves time) and high-rate and high-distance Quantum Error Correction (QEC) codes (which mean more logical qubits, with stronger error correction capabilities, can be made from a smaller number of physical qubits).
Studies of several efficient QEC codes already suggest we can enjoy logical error rates much lower than our target 10-6 – we may even be able to reach 10-10, which enables exploration of even more complex problems of both industrial and scientific interest.
Error correcting code exploration is only just beginning – we anticipate discoveries of even more efficient codes. As new codes are developed, Apollo will be able to accommodate them, thanks to our flexible high-fidelity architecture. The bottom line is that Apollo promises fault-tolerant quantum advantage sooner, with fewer resources.
Like all our computers, Apollo is based on the quantum charged coupled device (QCCD) architecture. Here, each qubit’s information is stored in the atomic states of a single ion. Laser beams are applied to the qubits to perform operations such as gates, initialization, and measurement. The lasers are applied to individual qubits or co-located qubit pairs in dedicated operation zones. Qubits are held in place using electromagnetic fields generated by our ion trap chip. We move the qubits around in space by dynamically changing the voltages applied to the chip. Through an alternating sequence of qubit rearrangements via movement followed by quantum operations, arbitrary circuits with arbitrary connectivity can be executed.
The ion trap chip in Apollo will host a 2D array of trapping locations. It will be fabricated using standard CMOS processing technology and controlled using standard CMOS electronics. The 2D grid architecture enables fast and scalable qubit rearrangement and quantum operations – a critical competitive advantage. The Apollo architecture is scalable to the significantly larger systems we plan to deliver in the next decade.
What is Apollo good for?
Apollo’s scaling of very stable physical qubits and native high-fidelity gates, together with our advanced error correcting and fault tolerant techniques will establish a quantum computer that can perform tasks that do not run (efficiently) on any classical computer. We already had a first glimpse of this in our recent work sampling the output of random quantum circuits on H2, where we performed 100x better than competitors who performed the same task while using 30,000x less power than a classical supercomputer. But with Apollo we will travel into uncharted territory.
The flexibility to use either thousands of qubits for shorter computations (up to 10k gates) or hundreds of qubits for longer computations (from 1 million to 1 billion gates) make Apollo a versatile machine with unprecedented quantum computational power. We expect the first application areas will be in scientific discovery; particularly the simulation of quantum systems. While this may sound academic, this is how all new material discovery begins and its value should not be understated. This era will lead to discoveries in materials science, high-temperature superconductivity, complex magnetic systems, phase transitions, and high energy physics, among other things.
In general, Apollo will advance the field of physics to new heights while we start to see the first glimmers of distinct progress in chemistry and biology. For some of these applications, users will employ Apollo in a mode where it offers thousands of qubits for relatively short computations; e.g. exploring the magnetism of materials. At other times, users may want to employ significantly longer computations for applications like chemistry or topological data analysis.
But there is more on the horizon. Carefully crafted AI models that interact seamlessly with Apollo will be able to squeeze all the “quantum juice” out and generate data that was hitherto unavailable to mankind. We anticipate using this data to further the field of AI itself, as it can be used as training data.
The era of scientific (quantum) discovery and exploration will inevitably lead to commercial value. Apollo will be the centerpiece of this commercial tipping point where use-cases will build on the value of scientific discovery and support highly innovative commercially viable products.
Very interestingly, we will uncover applications that we are currently unaware of. As is always the case with disruptive new technology, Apollo will run currently unknown use-cases and applications that will make perfect sense once we see them. We are eager to co-develop these with our customers in our unique co-creation program.
How do we get there?
Today, System Model H2 is our most advanced commercial quantum computer, providing 56 physical qubits with physical two-qubit gate errors less than 10-3. System Model H2, like all our systems, is based on the QCCD architecture.
Starting from where we are today, our roadmap progresses through two additional machines prior to Apollo. The Quantinuum Helios™ system, which we are releasing in 2025, will offer around 100 physical qubits with two-qubit gate errors less than 5x10-4. In addition to expanded qubit count and better errors, Helios makes two departures from H2. First, Helios will use 137Ba+ qubits in contrast to the 171Yb+ qubits used in our H1 and H2 systems. This change enables lower two-qubit gate errors and less complex laser systems with lower cost. Second, for the first time in a commercial system, Helios will use junction-based qubit routing. The result will be a “twice-as-good" system: Helios will offer roughly 2x more qubits with 2x lower two-qubit gate errors while operating more than 2x faster than our 56-qubit H2 system.
After Helios we will introduce Quantinuum Sol™, our first commercially available 2D-grid-based quantum computer. Sol will offer hundreds of physical qubits with two-qubit gate errors less than 2x10-4, operating approximately 2x faster than Helios. Sol being a fully 2D-grid architecture is the scalability launching point for the significant size increase planned for Apollo.
Opportunity for early value creation discovery in Helios and Sol
Thanks to Sol’s low error rates, users will be able to execute circuits with up to 10,000 quantum operations. The usefulness of Helios and Sol may be extended with a combination of quantum error detection (QED) and quantum error mitigation (QEM). For example, the [[k+2, k, 2]] iceberg code is a light-weight QED code that encodes k+2 physical qubits into k logical qubits and only uses an additional 2 ancilla qubits. This low-overhead code is well-suited for Helios and Sol because it offers the non-Clifford variable angle entangling ZZ-gate directly without the overhead of magic state distillation. The errors Iceberg fails to detect are already ~10x lower than our physical errors, and by applying a modest run-time overhead to discard detected failures, the effective error in the computation can be further reduced. Combining QED with QEM, a ~10x reduction in the effective error may be possible while maintaining run-time overhead at modest levels and below that of full-blown QEC.
Why accelerate our roadmap now?
Our new roadmap is an acceleration over what we were previously planning. The benefits of this are obvious: Apollo brings the commercial tipping point sooner than we previously thought possible. This acceleration is made possible by a set of recent breakthroughs.
First, we solved the “wiring problem”: we demonstrated that trap chip control is scalable using our novel center-to-left-right (C2LR) protocol and broadcasting shared control signals to multiple electrodes. This demonstration of qubit rearrangement in a 2D geometry marks the most advanced ion trap built, containing approximately 40 junctions. This trap was deployed to 3 different testbeds in 2 different cities and operated with 2 different collections of dual-ion-species, and all 3 cases were a success. These demonstrations showed that the footprint of the most complex parts of the trap control stay constant as the number of qubits scales up. This gives us the confidence that Sol, with approximately 100 junctions, will be a success.
Second, we continue to reduce our two-qubit physical gate errors. Today, H1 and H2 have two-qubit gate errors less than 1x10-3 across all pairs of qubits. This is the best in the industry and is a key ingredient in our record >2 million quantum volume. Our systems are the most benchmarked in the industry, and we stand by our data - making it all publicly available. Recently, we observed an 8x10-4 two-qubit gate error in our Helios development test stand in 137Ba+, and we’ve seen even better error rates in other testbeds. We are well on the path to meeting the 5x10-4 spec in Helios next year.
Third, the all-to-all connectivity offered by our systems enables highly efficient QEC codes. In Microsoft’s recent demonstration, our H2 system with 56 physical qubits was used to generate 12 logical qubits at distance 4. This work demonstrated several experiments, including repeated rounds of error correction where the error in the final result was ~10x lower than the physical circuit baseline.
In conclusion, through a combination of advances in hardware readiness and QEC, we have line-of-sight to Apollo by the end of the decade, a fully fault-tolerant quantum advantaged machine. This will be a commercial tipping point: ushering in an era of scientific discovery in physics, materials, chemistry, and more. Along the way, users will have the opportunity to discover new enabling use cases through quantum error detection and mitigation in Helios and Sol.
Quantinuum has the best quantum computers today and is on the path to offering fault-tolerant useful quantum computation by the end of the decade.
About Quantinuum
Quantinuum, the world’s largest integrated quantum company, pioneers powerful quantum computers and advanced software solutions. Quantinuum’s technology drives breakthroughs in materials discovery, cybersecurity, and next-gen quantum AI. With over 500 employees, including 370+ scientists and engineers, Quantinuum leads the quantum computing revolution across continents.
Our quantum algorithms team has been hard at work exploring solutions to continually optimize our system’s performance. Recently, they’ve invented a novel technique, called the Quantum Paldus Transform (QPT), that can offer significant resource savings in future applications.
The transform takes complex representations and makes them simple, by transforming into a different “basis”. This is like looking at a cube from one angle, then rotating it and seeing just a square, instead. Transformations like this save resources because the more complex your problem looks, the more expensive it is to represent and manipulate on qubits.
You’ve changed
While it might sound like magic, transforms are a commonly used tool in science and engineering. Transforms simplify problems by reshaping them into something that is easier to deal with, or that provides a new perspective on the situation. For example, sound engineers use Fourier transforms every day to look at complex musical pieces in terms of their frequency components. Electrical engineers use Laplace transforms; people who work in image processing use the Abel transform; physicists use the Legendre transform, and so on.
In a new paper outlining the necessary tools to implement the QPT, Dr. Nathan Fitzpatrick and Mr. Jędrzej Burkat explain how the QPT will be widely applicable in quantum computing simulations, spanning areas like molecular chemistry, materials science, and semiconductor physics. The paper also describes how the algorithm can lead to significant resource savings by offering quantum programmers a more efficient way of representing problems on qubits.
Symmetry is key
The efficiency of the QPT stems from its use of one of the most profound findings in the field of physics: that symmetries drive the properties of a system.
While the average person can “appreciate” symmetry, for example in design or aesthetics, physicists understand symmetry as a much more profound element present in the fabric of reality. Symmetries are like the universe’s DNA; they lead to conservation laws, which are the most immutable truths we know.
Back in the 1920’s, when women were largely prohibited from practicing physics, one of the great mathematicians of the century, Emmy Noether, turned her attention to the field when she was tasked with helping Einstein with his work. In her attempt to solve a problem Einstein had encountered, Dr. Noether realized that all the most powerful and fundamental laws of physics, such as “energy can neither be created nor destroyed” are in fact the consequence of a deep simplicity – symmetry – hiding behind the curtains of reality. Dr. Noether’s theorem would have a profound effect on the trajectory of physics.
In addition to the many direct consequences of Noether’s theorem is a longstanding tradition amongst physicists to treat symmetry thoughtfully. Because of its role in the fabric of our universe, carefully considering the symmetries of a system often leads to invaluable insights.
Einstein, Pauli and Noether walk into a bar...
Many of the systems we are interested in simulating with quantum computers are, at their heart, systems of electrons. Whether we are looking at how electrons move in a paired dance inside superconductors, or how they form orbitals and bonds in a chemical system, the motion of electrons are at the core.
Seven years after Noether published her blockbuster results, Wolfgang Pauli made waves when he published the work describing his Pauli exclusion principle, which relies heavily on symmetry to explain basic tenets of quantum theory. Pauli’s principle has enormous consequences; for starters, describing how the objects we interact with every day are solid even though atoms are mostly empty space, and outlining the rules of bonds, orbitals, and all of chemistry, among other things.
Symmetry in motion
It is Pauli's symmetry, coupled with a deep respect for the impact of symmetry, that led our team at Quantinuum to the discovery published today.
In their work, they considered the act of designing quantum algorithms, and how one’s design choices may lead to efficiency or inefficiency.
When you design quantum algorithms, there are many choices you can make that affect the final result. Extensive work goes into optimizing each individual step in an algorithm, requiring a cyclical process of determining subroutine improvements, and finally, bringing it all together. The significant cost and time required is a limiting factor in optimizing many algorithms of interest.
This is again where symmetry comes into play. The authors realized that by better exploiting the deepest symmetries of the problem, they could make the entire edifice more efficient, from state preparation to readout. Over the course of a few years, a team lead Dr. Fitzpatrick and his colleague Jędrzej Burkat slowly polished their approach into a full algorithm for performing the QPT.
The QPT functions by using Pauli’s symmetry to discard unimportant details and strip the problem down to its bare essentials. Starting with a Paldus transform allows the algorithm designer to enjoy knock-on effects throughout the entire structure, making it overall more efficient to run.
“It’s amazing to think how something we discovered one hundred years ago is making quantum computing easier and more efficient,” said Dr. Nathan Fitzpatrick.
Ultimately, this innovation will lead to more efficient quantum simulation. Projects we believed to still be many years out can now be realized in the near term.
Transforming the future
The discovery of the Quantum Paldus Transform is a powerful reminder that enduring ideas—like symmetry—continue to shape the frontiers of science. By reaching back into the fundamental principles laid down by pioneers like Noether and Pauli, and combining them with modern quantum algorithm design, Dr. Fitzpatrick and Mr. Burkat have uncovered a tool with the potential to reshape how we approach quantum computation.
As quantum technologies continue their crossover from theoretical promise to practical implementation, innovations like this will be key in unlocking their full potential.
In a new paper in Nature Physics, we've made a major breakthrough in one of quantum computing’s most elusive promises: simulating the physics of superconductors. A deeper understanding of superconductivity would have an enormous impact: greater insight could pave the way to real-world advances, like phone batteries that last for months, “lossless” power grids that drastically reduce your bills, or MRI machines that are widely available and cheap to use. The development of room-temperature superconductors would transform the global economy.
A key promise of quantum computing is that it has a natural advantage when studying inherently quantum systems, like superconductors. In many ways, it is precisely the deeply ‘quantum’ nature of superconductivity that makes it both so transformative and so notoriously difficult to study.
Now, we are pleased to report that we just got a lot closer to that ultimate dream.
Making the impossible possible
To study something like a superconductor with a quantum computer, you need to first “encode” the elements of the system you want to study onto the qubits – in other words, you want to translate the essential features of your material onto the states and gates you will run on the computer.
For superconductors in particular, you want to encode the behavior of particles known as “fermions” (like the familiar electron). Naively simulating fermions using qubits will result in garbage data, because qubits alone lack the key properties that make a fermion so unique.
Until recently, scientists used something called the “Jordan-Wigner” encoding to properly map fermions onto qubits. People have argued that the Jordan-Wigner encoding is one of the main reasons fermionic simulations have not progressed beyond simple one-dimensional chain geometries: it requires too many gates as the system size grows.
Even worse, the Jordan-Wigner encoding has the nasty property that it is, in a sense, maximally non-fault-tolerant: one error occurring anywhere in the system affects the whole state, which generally leads to an exponential overhead in the number of shots required. Due to this, until now, simulating relevant systems at scale – one of the big promises of quantum computing – has remained a daunting challenge.
Theorists have addressed the issues of the Jordan-Wigner encoding and have suggested alternative fermionic encodings. In practice, however, the circuits created from these alternative encodings come with large overheads and have so far not been practically useful.
We are happy to report that our team developed a new way to compile one of the new, alternative, encodings that dramatically improves both efficiency and accuracy, overcoming the limitations of older approaches. Their new compilation scheme is the most efficient yet, slashing the cost of simulating fermionic hopping by an impressive 42%. On top of that, the team also introduced new, targeted error mitigation techniques that ensure even larger systems can be simulated with far fewer computational "shots"—a critical advantage in quantum computing.
Using their innovative methods, the team was able to simulate the Fermi-Hubbard model—a cornerstone of condensed matter physics— at a previously unattainable scale. By encoding 36 fermionic modes into 48 physical qubits on System Model H2, they achieved the largest quantum simulation of this model to date.
This marks an important milestone in quantum computing: it demonstrates that large-scale simulations of complex quantum systems, like superconductors, are now within reach.
Unlocking the Quantum Age, One Breakthrough at a Time
This breakthrough doesn’t just show how we can push the boundaries of what quantum computers can do; it brings one of the most exciting use cases of quantum computing much closer to reality. With this new approach, scientists can soon begin to simulate materials and systems that were once thought too complex for the most powerful classical computers alone. And in doing so, they’ve unlocked a path to potentially solving one of the most exciting and valuable problems in science and technology: understanding and harnessing the power of superconductivity.
The future of quantum computing—and with it, the future of energy, electronics, and beyond—just got a lot more exciting.
In an experiment led by Princeton and NIST, we’ve just delivered a crucial result in Quantum Error Correction (QEC), demonstrating key principles of scalable quantum computing developed by Drs Peter Shor, Dorit Aharonov, and Michael Ben-Or. In this latest paper, we showed that by using “concatenated codes” noise can be exponentially suppressed — proving that quantum computing will scale.
When noise is low enough, the results are transformative
Quantum computing is already producing results, but high-profile applications like Shor’s algorithm—which can break RSA encryption—require error rates about a billion times lower than what today’s machines can achieve.
Achieving such low error rates is a holy grail of quantum computing. Peter Shor was the first to hypothesize a way forward, in the form of quantum error correction. Building on his results, Dorit Aharanov and Michael Ben-Or proved that by concatenating quantum error correcting codes, a sufficiently high-quality quantum computer can suppress error rates arbitrarily at the cost of a very modest increase in the required number of qubits. Without that insight, building a truly fault-tolerant quantum computer would be impossible.
Their results, now widely referred to as the “threshold theorem”, laid the foundation for realizing fault-tolerant quantum computing. At the time, many doubted that the error rates required for large-scale quantum algorithms could ever be achieved in practice. The threshold theorem made clear that large scale quantum computing is a realistic possibility, giving birth to the robust quantum industry that exists today.
Realizing a legendary vision
Until now, nobody has realized the original vision for the threshold theorem. Last year, Google performed a beautiful demonstration of the threshold theorem in a different context (without concatenated codes). This year, we are proud to report the first experimental realization of that seminal work—demonstrating fault-tolerant quantum computing using concatenated codes, just as they envisioned.
The benefits of concatenation
The team demonstrated that their family of protocols achieves high error thresholds—making them easier to implement—while requiring minimal ancilla qubits, meaning lower overall qubit overhead. Remarkably, their protocols are so efficient that fault-tolerant preparation of basis states requires zero ancilla overhead, making the process maximally efficient.
This approach to error correction has the potential to significantly reduce qubit requirements across multiple areas, from state preparation to the broader QEC infrastructure. Additionally, concatenated codes offer greater design flexibility, which makes them especially attractive. Taken together, these advantages suggest that concatenation could provide a faster and more practical path to fault-tolerant quantum computing than popular approaches like the surface code.
We’re always looking forward
From a broader perspective, this achievement highlights the power of collaboration between industry, academia, and national laboratories. Quantinuum’s commercial quantum systems are so stable and reliable that our partners were able to carry out this groundbreaking research remotely—over the cloud—without needing detailed knowledge of the hardware. While we very much look forward to welcoming them to our labs before long, its notable that they never need to step inside to harness the full capabilities of our machines.
As we make quantum computing more accessible, the rate of innovation will only increase. The era of plug-and-play quantum computing has arrived. Are you ready?